Well, it’s been a week since the February figures for housing starts were released, and they were up 22% from January, if you missed the hullabaloo.
It’s also of little note. This is what we call a “dead cat bounce”, for those of you not familiar, e.g. if the numbers fall so drastically for such a long period of time, they have to go back for a short period of time at some point.
Election junkies will remember how McCain’s polls surged briefly for a time in mid-October, and it obviously meant little. When compared to housing starts for February 2008, numbers are down more than 47%. Hardly what we’d call a comeback.
“With new home sales still falling and the months’ supply at a record, there is no reason for homebuilding to rise,” wrote Ian Sheperdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in a research note. “This is a temporary rebound, not a recovery.”
Housing market’s still got a long ways to go, folks.